Category Archives: Euro

Paul Krugman: Rationality and the Euro


  Simon Wren-Lewis, for once, has a happy story to tell. He looks back at Britain’s fateful decision, ten years ago, not to join the euro, and argues that the decision was made on the basis of — gasp! — … Continue reading

Posted in Euro, EZ, Paul Krugman, Simon Wren-Lewis | Leave a comment

Paul Krugman: German Wages and Portuguese Competitiveness (A Bit Wonkish)


  There’s a three-cornered debate among Ryan Avent, Tyler Cowen, and Karl Smith over the extent to which a more expansionary ECB policy would help the European periphery. I very much agree with Avent and Smith that Cowen, who worries … Continue reading

Posted in Euro, Germany, Macroeconomics, Paul Krugman | Leave a comment

Paul Krugman: Europe in Brief


  Tim Duy asks, when can we all admit that the euro is a failure? The answer, of course, is never. Too much history, too many declarations, too much ego is invested in the single currency for those involved ever … Continue reading

Posted in Euro, Europe, Paul Krugman | Leave a comment

Paul Krugman: The ECB, OMT, and Moral Hazard


  Back in 2011 and again in the summer of 2012, a number of economists pleaded with the European Central Bank to intervene in sovereign bond markets, buying troubled nations’ debt to stop the “doom loop” of plunging bond prices … Continue reading

Posted in Euro, Europe, NYT, Paul Krugman | 2 Comments

Paul Krugman: France Has Its Own Currency Again


  Joe Weisenthal draws our attention to a development that may surprise many people: French borrowing costs are plunging. (Don’t tell George Osborne — he thinks that low British rates are a unique personal achievement). Here’s the chart for French … Continue reading

Posted in Euro, NYT, Paul Krugman | 1 Comment

Paul Krugman: One Size Fits None


  In today’s Business Insider, Joe Weisenthal reports on Europe’s truly dismal PMIs (survey-based indexes that act as early-warning indicators for official economic data). There’s no doubt at all that the continent is falling deeper into recession, even in the … Continue reading

Posted in Euro, Europe, EZ, Paul Krugman | Leave a comment

Paul Krugman: What’s the Greek for Corralito?


  It’s now three years since I suggested a possible route to Greek exit from the euro: a banking crisis, followed by sharp limits on bank withdrawals similar to Argentina’s 2001 corralito, and then — with the panic argument against … Continue reading

Posted in Cyprus, Euro, Paul Krugman | Leave a comment

Paul Krugman: Cyprus, Seriously


  A correspondent whom I respect has (gently) challenged me to say plainly what I think Cyprus should do — leaving aside all questions about political realism. And he’s right: while I think it’s OK to spend most of my … Continue reading

Posted in Cyprus, Euro, EZ, Paul Krugman | 1 Comment

Paul Krugman: The Яussians Are Coming! The Яussians Are Coming!


  How big a deal is the Russian factor in Cyprus’s crisis? Pretty big, it seems. Over at FT Alphaville, Izabella Kaminska reports on estimates of 19 billion euros in Russian nationals’ deposits in Cyprus banks, which is more than … Continue reading

Posted in Cyprus, Euro, Paul Krugman | Leave a comment

Island Nightmares – NYTimes.com


  What is it about islands around Europe’s periphery? Is there some peculiar psychological thing about proximity plus the illusion of isolation that makes them turn themselves into havens for runaway banks? Inquiring minds want to know. Anyway, the Cyprus … Continue reading

Posted in Cyprus, Euro, Europe, Paul Krugman | Leave a comment